The snapshot trap

Rankings describe a position at a point in time. They do not tell you whether the underlying system is strengthening or weakening.

Two horizons

The latest master carries both approximately 3-year and 20-year trend labels. The historical master allows exact changes, rolling averages and persistence tests once connected.

No mechanical forecast

Momentum is descriptive. A recent improvement does not guarantee continuation, and a long decline does not guarantee further deterioration.

Research standard: framework notes explain measurement logic. They are not presented as empirical findings unless a cited data analysis supports them.

← Back to research